The record
Every call, scored against the real open
Hit = same direction as the opening gap (inside ±0.10% counts only if both are). Error = distance in percentage points. “No gap” is the honest baseline: calling 0% every day. Misses stay. Nothing is edited.
Board stocks
Last 30 days
—
no resolved calls yet
All time
—
no resolved calls yet
Mean error, all time
—
“no gap” —
First call
—
chain history starts there
Including thin markets
Last 30 days
—
no resolved calls yet
All time
—
no resolved calls yet
Calibration
Hit rate by the size of the chain’s call (|gap| at the freeze), board stocks, all time. The dashed line is a coin flip.
Best and worst calls
Closest 5, all time
None yet.
Furthest 5, all time
None yet.
Closest 5, last 30 days
None yet.
Furthest 5, last 30 days
None yet.
By stock
| Stock | 30d calls | Hit | Error | Beat naive | All calls | Hit | Error | Beat naive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No resolved calls yet. | ||||||||
By day
| Day | Board calls hit | Pending |
|---|---|---|
| The first day’s calls freeze at 09:29:30 ET. | ||
Before the first sample
The real opening gaps of the 30 trading days before Prebell started, for today’s board stocks. There was no chain sampling then, so there are no calls to score.
| Day | Stocks | Mean |opening gap| | Biggest | Chain |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 28 | 23 | 0.93% | HOOD −5.64% | no chain data |
| Tue, Oct 27 | 23 | 0.80% | AVGO +3.25% | no chain data |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 23 | 0.97% | CRCL −4.13% | no chain data |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 23 | 0.59% | SPCX +2.20% | no chain data |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 23 | 2.19% | MSTR −5.51% | no chain data |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 23 | 1.32% | SPCX +8.64% | no chain data |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 23 | 0.83% | GME −2.69% | no chain data |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 23 | 1.34% | INTC +5.21% | no chain data |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 23 | 0.85% | MSTR −3.53% | no chain data |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 23 | 2.06% | CRCL −5.38% | no chain data |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 23 | 1.12% | INTC −3.19% | no chain data |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 23 | 0.79% | CRCL −2.21% | no chain data |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 23 | 0.51% | INTC −2.09% | no chain data |
| Fri, Oct 9 | 23 | 1.17% | SPCX +2.97% | no chain data |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 23 | 0.91% | PLTR +2.51% | no chain data |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 23 | 1.19% | MSTR −4.16% | no chain data |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 23 | 0.60% | NVDA +1.34% | no chain data |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 23 | 0.81% | INTC −3.35% | no chain data |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 23 | 1.41% | CRCL +3.46% | no chain data |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 23 | 0.62% | GOOGL +1.95% | no chain data |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 23 | 1.13% | HOOD +5.50% | no chain data |
| Tue, Sep 29 | 23 | 0.90% | COIN +2.99% | no chain data |
| Mon, Sep 28 | 23 | 0.95% | GLD −3.47% | no chain data |
| Fri, Sep 25 | 23 | 0.38% | TSLA +1.77% | no chain data |
| Thu, Sep 24 | 23 | 0.82% | HOOD −2.61% | no chain data |
| Wed, Sep 23 | 23 | 0.58% | CRCL −1.66% | no chain data |
| Tue, Sep 22 | 23 | 0.82% | GME +3.25% | no chain data |
| Mon, Sep 21 | 23 | 1.88% | INTC +7.30% | no chain data |
| Fri, Sep 18 | 23 | 0.98% | MSTR +3.27% | no chain data |
| Thu, Sep 17 | 23 | 1.84% | HOOD +5.44% | no chain data |